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20120924
20121002
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. intrade.com gives president obama a 75% chance of winning. are you a buyer or seller of that stat? > > i just want to talk about how legitimate these prediction markets are. it's offshore, so people don't actually put money on who they think is going to win. it's gone from 70% to 75%, so i think obama's getting a little bit over-bought. not that i think romney is going to win, but i think there's some opportunity here. > > i have to disagree with you, and i really do, because i think the price is efficient, i think obama being 75% is the ultimate sign of crowdsourcing together. you can't say one's overvalued, one's undervalued. > > if you look at the chart, the chart would have broken the trend line at 40 for romney. markets often come back to their break-out point, so- > > i'm just saying it's the ultimate source for crowdsourcing. undervalued, overvalued, we'll find out in a few weeks. > > it is what it is. > > yes. > > round two: oil spill. crude oil has dropped around 10%. where is the outrage? people are so angry when those speculators step in and move oil to the upside. now that it
obama. > > what about contractors? you're finding that as full- time employees are dropping, those numbers are dropping, that in fact 1099 people, the contractors, are increasing. > > right, certainly some of what we're seeing, if there are jobs that are being added, or at least keeping us from dropping further, is that we're seeing more independent contractors added as opposed to full-time workers. that creates a challenge for people, because you don't have the comfort of a long-term, stable job. you don't often have the health insurance. you have to pay in for your own social security benefits. it's more challenging for the work force. > > what is the one thing that small businesses would like to see - outside of a new president - to really give them the kickstart they're waiting for? > > the number one thing we're hearing from small businesses is not easy to fix, and that is they need demand. they need more demand for the services and products that they sell. > > and that's sort of a chicken-egg... > > right. and until we figure out how to do that - and there's lots of ways of d
Search Results 0 to 1 of about 2